It's a new year filled with endless possibilities! Let's make winning our Survivor Pool one of those possibilities. For those that haven't played before, a Survivor Pool (or King of the Hill Pool) is a contest where you pay an entrance fee and each week you pick one winner from the NFL slate. No point spreads, just the winner. The catch is you cannot use a team twice in the same season, so you can't just ride the best teams to glory. If your team loses, you're out. Last man/woman standing wins the whole pot.
If you've read up on strategies, you will see many ranging from the simplistic to the overly complicated. We try and stay somewhere in between. The easiest rule of thumb is "Take the highest point total favorite that's playing at home". Eventually it won't be that easy and there will be a point where we are going to go for the win, rather than just trying to "survive".
Are you with me? OK, let's dig right in.
It's week 1 and for me, it's the toughest week of the season to pick. We just don't know what these teams will look like once the lights come on and the regular season begins. All we have to go on is the memory of what they looked like last year and the knowledge of what they've done in the off season to prepare for the 2024 campaign. Based on those nuggets of info, we can identify the Giants and Patriots as two teams we will likely be picking on this year.
For week 1 of this season, I'm keeping it simple and going with the Bengals at home vs. The Patriots. The Bengals do make me a little nervous with this Jamar Chase drama that will likely follow them into the regular season, but even without the star wide out, they should handle the Patriots. It's the first game without Belichek on the sidelines in about 30 years, so I'm betting the transition will be a tad bumpy. Jarrod Mayo may be the perfect fit as head coach for this young team, but I doubt there will be enough there behind Jacoby Brissett to keep this game close.
Final Score Bengals 31 - Patriots 13
Your other options for this week:
Buffalo Bills at home vs. The Cardinals. Let's see how the Bills offense looks with the new Wide Receiver room and the missing pieces on defense. They may pull this game out, but I'm putting them on upset watch.
Seahawks at home vs. Denver. I think that Seattle will have a fairly easy time this week against their former AFC division rivals in the "We Don't Miss Russ Wilson Bowl". The crowd will be into it, and I don't think Bo Nix will enjoy this trip to Seattle any more than he did the last time he came to town. He did play well against UW last year, but it wasn't quite enough to lead his team to victory. I think Geno Smith and the gang score enough to win and cover.
OK, that's what we've got for this week. Good Luck!!!
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